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21
Paranormal, Aliens, & UFOs / Re: Psychic Predictions for 2021 & Beyond.
« Last post by Psk on December 30, 2020, 11:29:52 AM »
Mitch McConnell is found out to be working for Russia He’s gone. Prosecutions against the Trump family will begin.
Food shortages.
The Eiffel tower wounded.
Pope Francis resigns.
I see farm animals. More people want to move to farms. But there is also a queston about the fate of farm animals as a plant based diet begins to take hold.
In late 2021, I am seeing a shot being developed for an illness. I am picking up HIV.
There is a Tsunami from the Arctic ocean into Russia and it’s a big one. Could be coming from an Asteroid coming at such an angle that the major part of the Tsunami is moving towards Russia. Canada is not impacted as much as Russia and other northern European countries or Alaska. It will be a huge wave as if it was meant to be for Russia.
I see the equatorial countries turning brown, meaning without vegetation. Strong solar storms during this year. Space travel is hindered by the storms.
I see the earth and it has a shield or storm over the Arctic. The shield is yellow/gold and has multiple sides.
2021 –2022: More volcanoes erupt around the planet, some that have been dormant for thousands of years are waking up. I see Krakatoa blowing up like it did in 1814 or thereabout. New ones will be discovered on the US and Canadian Pacific coast. Also possibly Alberta. The Pacific rim of fire is on fire.
I see the map of the U.S. People are making plans to migrate to new areas. New parts of the country are becoming more desirable and people are starting new communities in these places. Many people moving out of the U.S. to more affordable places too.
Farmers trying to adjust to climate, cattle can not stay in this dry heat, a concern, they are rushing to make new advances in farming that will accommodate the dramatic weather shift. Famine increasing. Food shortages. People are reserved, resolute, working hard to fix the climate. A seriousness over populations as we come together to work diligently and efficiently to fix the planet.
Arctic melting intensifies. Polar bears dying out. Earthquakes. The earth cracks.
By 2028, the excesses and corruption of the government are over. There’s been a shift in demographics. The U.S. is much more diverse and diversity is the norm now.
(over the decade) The Arctic Circle will be a focus in the news. I saw it so bright, I could only see bright.
(over the decade) The Arctic Circle will transform completely in the next decade. The snow will all be melted and it will have a hot sun.
(over the decade) Lots of desert, when looking at the earth from space, where we used to see green forest is now like a desert, mostly in Africa.
2037: Statue of Liberty up to her upper thighs in water. Fish swimming past NYC airport, airport signs under water. Large fish swimming past sunken cars.
By 2040: I am seeing a water world, or like little islands and lots of water and it’s warm. People living in the northern most regions of Canada. Interplanetary settlements. There’s contact with aliens. China biggest world power and India more important too. Food is more scarce. I’m watching from the moon and I see shooting stars. They are planes landing to and from the planet. Not much ice on the poles. Lots of water canals in some places, need boats to get around.
2059: Man in robes and beard looms over Capitol in rage. Brings fire and brimstone down on it. Capitol burns.
2060: Everyone is wearing uniforms, are dark blue, very military. Cities floating on the ocean in international waters. Life spans double what they are now. There are ET outposts in remote areas. Another World War. Feels like people are living in late WWII Germany ghettos. China, and other Asian countries and Japan allied against Australia and its allies. Space travel, inter-dimensional awareness, knowledge of other dimensions. People cook less. They buy their meals at machines or communal kitchens.
2070s: China at the forefront of technology, they rule and make major decisions, leaders overall. Australia and New Zealand are the only democratic countries. Antarctica is allied with the Australian continent. Center of U.S. is brown and barren, like Australia, in that most of population lives along coasts.
2100: I saw spaceships, a lot of astral travel. Integrated with aliens, they live among us. Robots integral to our lives. Aliens are now our neighbors, helping us farm. Assisting in technologies. Small communities scattered. People huddled more together in small communities. Alaska fully settled, and northern Canada too. Rainy, very rainy in the northern latitudes. Population much smaller. Animals precious. We are not alone. Aliens. Space travel normal. A devastation occurred which destroyed so much and woke us up completely. People are not seen. In homes that are made of cold, steel color. Flying cars, holograms, instant connect with people by thinking about them, almost robotic humans or maybe they are robots.
(scroll down for more)
Food shortages.
The Eiffel tower wounded.
Pope Francis resigns.
I see farm animals. More people want to move to farms. But there is also a queston about the fate of farm animals as a plant based diet begins to take hold.
In late 2021, I am seeing a shot being developed for an illness. I am picking up HIV.
There is a Tsunami from the Arctic ocean into Russia and it’s a big one. Could be coming from an Asteroid coming at such an angle that the major part of the Tsunami is moving towards Russia. Canada is not impacted as much as Russia and other northern European countries or Alaska. It will be a huge wave as if it was meant to be for Russia.
I see the equatorial countries turning brown, meaning without vegetation. Strong solar storms during this year. Space travel is hindered by the storms.
I see the earth and it has a shield or storm over the Arctic. The shield is yellow/gold and has multiple sides.
2021 –2022: More volcanoes erupt around the planet, some that have been dormant for thousands of years are waking up. I see Krakatoa blowing up like it did in 1814 or thereabout. New ones will be discovered on the US and Canadian Pacific coast. Also possibly Alberta. The Pacific rim of fire is on fire.
I see the map of the U.S. People are making plans to migrate to new areas. New parts of the country are becoming more desirable and people are starting new communities in these places. Many people moving out of the U.S. to more affordable places too.
Farmers trying to adjust to climate, cattle can not stay in this dry heat, a concern, they are rushing to make new advances in farming that will accommodate the dramatic weather shift. Famine increasing. Food shortages. People are reserved, resolute, working hard to fix the climate. A seriousness over populations as we come together to work diligently and efficiently to fix the planet.
Arctic melting intensifies. Polar bears dying out. Earthquakes. The earth cracks.
By 2028, the excesses and corruption of the government are over. There’s been a shift in demographics. The U.S. is much more diverse and diversity is the norm now.
(over the decade) The Arctic Circle will be a focus in the news. I saw it so bright, I could only see bright.
(over the decade) The Arctic Circle will transform completely in the next decade. The snow will all be melted and it will have a hot sun.
(over the decade) Lots of desert, when looking at the earth from space, where we used to see green forest is now like a desert, mostly in Africa.
2037: Statue of Liberty up to her upper thighs in water. Fish swimming past NYC airport, airport signs under water. Large fish swimming past sunken cars.
By 2040: I am seeing a water world, or like little islands and lots of water and it’s warm. People living in the northern most regions of Canada. Interplanetary settlements. There’s contact with aliens. China biggest world power and India more important too. Food is more scarce. I’m watching from the moon and I see shooting stars. They are planes landing to and from the planet. Not much ice on the poles. Lots of water canals in some places, need boats to get around.
2059: Man in robes and beard looms over Capitol in rage. Brings fire and brimstone down on it. Capitol burns.
2060: Everyone is wearing uniforms, are dark blue, very military. Cities floating on the ocean in international waters. Life spans double what they are now. There are ET outposts in remote areas. Another World War. Feels like people are living in late WWII Germany ghettos. China, and other Asian countries and Japan allied against Australia and its allies. Space travel, inter-dimensional awareness, knowledge of other dimensions. People cook less. They buy their meals at machines or communal kitchens.
2070s: China at the forefront of technology, they rule and make major decisions, leaders overall. Australia and New Zealand are the only democratic countries. Antarctica is allied with the Australian continent. Center of U.S. is brown and barren, like Australia, in that most of population lives along coasts.
2100: I saw spaceships, a lot of astral travel. Integrated with aliens, they live among us. Robots integral to our lives. Aliens are now our neighbors, helping us farm. Assisting in technologies. Small communities scattered. People huddled more together in small communities. Alaska fully settled, and northern Canada too. Rainy, very rainy in the northern latitudes. Population much smaller. Animals precious. We are not alone. Aliens. Space travel normal. A devastation occurred which destroyed so much and woke us up completely. People are not seen. In homes that are made of cold, steel color. Flying cars, holograms, instant connect with people by thinking about them, almost robotic humans or maybe they are robots.
(scroll down for more)
22
Paranormal, Aliens, & UFOs / Re: Psychic Predictions for 2021 & Beyond.
« Last post by Psk on December 30, 2020, 10:10:09 AM »
Panic and restrictions around the virus will go on until 2022. Protests around the world continuing for the next two to three years and including civil unrest. A mass movement of people, including thousands moving in one go.
a fire raging through New York, USA, & potential heartbreak for three A-List celebrities. A male world leader is assassinated, I couldn’t see who it was, it sends shockwaves through the world.
A world summit being plagued by a sex scandal and, a rise in far-right politics, particularly in southern Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and a volcanic eruption leading to major weather changes. "Pig flu" & mass panic.
Biden is may have health problems in January or early Spring, but will overcome this by Summer 2021. The Georgia Senate race will possibly see one Senate seat for the Democrats and one Senate seat for the Republicans. Raphael Warnock (D) will probably win over Kelly Loeffler (R). David Perdue (R) may barely win over John Ossof (D).
Biden will introduce a public option health insurance plan run by the federal government. He will double the health care companies for antitrust violations.
Donald Trump will remain a political force to be reckoned with and the GOP will follow in Trump’s footsteps touting economic populism and social conservatism. Because of his leadership the future of the Republican party will be more diverse with Hispanic and non white voters. President Trump will write a best seller memoir as he fights ongoing legal battles, Ivanka Trump and Jared Kushner start a foundation to help those in need, Melania Trump pens a book about her role as First lady, takes c/o of her son Baron, and becomes a source of good in the world. All vaccines for COVID-19 will be given to every state in America with enough doses to vaccinate everyone in US by end of 2021.
Biden will create a new homeowner and renter bill of rights. He will provide Section 8 vouchers to all eligible families paying more than 30% of their income in rent to all eligible families paying more than 30% of their income on rent. President Biden will make the District of Columbia the 51st state. Despite a surging stock market the labor market will take time to turn around with the middle of Summer of 2021 seeing an upswing.
Global elite from United States and other countries in the world will buy up property in New Zealand, Costa Rica,Vietnam in the hopes of escape World War 3 in the future. The eradication of the coronavirus world-wide may lead to a digital cashless society where money is no longer used because it is the carrier of the coronavirus.
China will establish a foothold on Greenland where they can spy on USA’s northeast and Europe, and the new Biden Presidency will secure Greenland to prevent this from happening. China will be a cashless society by end of 2021. Biden will demand concessions on Chinese state subsidies and forced technology transfer.
Peace treaty signed by the end of 2021 in Middle East with Israel and Palestine working out an agreement for both sides to recognize the sovereignty of each nation as a separate state. More co-operation between Saudis and Israel re cyber security which Saudis need for their country.
South Korea will play an important part together with President Biden to encourage North Korea’s Kim Jong Un to continue disarmament talks, and dismantling its war weapons in the first part of 2021. Vladimir Putin may leave the political scene in about a year because of illness.
Germany stops changing daylight savings time and establishes its clock in the summertime permanently. Scotland breaks away from th United Kingdom to become an independent state in 2021.
Terrorist attacks around the world in Europe, targeting London, Egypt, France, New York, Germany – places of worship both in US and UK with US malls, theme parks, and an Airline may be hijacked.
Earthquakes of 5.8 to 6.4 +or above, to hit Los Angeles, San Diego, Orange County, and San Francisco.
Northern Japan new Quake or Tsunami could affect Pacific Islands and Hawaii. Europe will suffer from a fresh food shortage. New strange weather patterns and earth alignments are recorded as well as unusual Paranormal events of spirit phenomena.
Earthquakes up to 6.2 up to 7.0 or just below for Los Angeles, San Francisco, Mexico, Japan, Alaska, New Zealand. Power outages in New York and San Francisco. Hurricane season reaps havoc for parts of New York city, high tides and storms for Philippines, with wild fires in Canada, and Australia.
Trauma pandemic forces world societies on the way we run our lives in future with young people studying at home and reshaping the business culture.
More money resources put into Parks where people can safely social distance – will be the new health trend instead of shopping malls which are breeding places for COVID-19. Changes in U.S. health care system, with a health care plan that caters to all. Medicare will expand its medical provides allowing also for more billing for telemedicine.
New cures childhood Cancer, end of Aids disease in America. New treatments for multiple sclerosis, Crohn’s disease, and ulcerative colitis, and a Cannabis based treatment for epilepsy.
(scroll down for more)
a fire raging through New York, USA, & potential heartbreak for three A-List celebrities. A male world leader is assassinated, I couldn’t see who it was, it sends shockwaves through the world.
A world summit being plagued by a sex scandal and, a rise in far-right politics, particularly in southern Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and a volcanic eruption leading to major weather changes. "Pig flu" & mass panic.
Biden is may have health problems in January or early Spring, but will overcome this by Summer 2021. The Georgia Senate race will possibly see one Senate seat for the Democrats and one Senate seat for the Republicans. Raphael Warnock (D) will probably win over Kelly Loeffler (R). David Perdue (R) may barely win over John Ossof (D).
Biden will introduce a public option health insurance plan run by the federal government. He will double the health care companies for antitrust violations.
Donald Trump will remain a political force to be reckoned with and the GOP will follow in Trump’s footsteps touting economic populism and social conservatism. Because of his leadership the future of the Republican party will be more diverse with Hispanic and non white voters. President Trump will write a best seller memoir as he fights ongoing legal battles, Ivanka Trump and Jared Kushner start a foundation to help those in need, Melania Trump pens a book about her role as First lady, takes c/o of her son Baron, and becomes a source of good in the world. All vaccines for COVID-19 will be given to every state in America with enough doses to vaccinate everyone in US by end of 2021.
Biden will create a new homeowner and renter bill of rights. He will provide Section 8 vouchers to all eligible families paying more than 30% of their income in rent to all eligible families paying more than 30% of their income on rent. President Biden will make the District of Columbia the 51st state. Despite a surging stock market the labor market will take time to turn around with the middle of Summer of 2021 seeing an upswing.
Global elite from United States and other countries in the world will buy up property in New Zealand, Costa Rica,Vietnam in the hopes of escape World War 3 in the future. The eradication of the coronavirus world-wide may lead to a digital cashless society where money is no longer used because it is the carrier of the coronavirus.
China will establish a foothold on Greenland where they can spy on USA’s northeast and Europe, and the new Biden Presidency will secure Greenland to prevent this from happening. China will be a cashless society by end of 2021. Biden will demand concessions on Chinese state subsidies and forced technology transfer.
Peace treaty signed by the end of 2021 in Middle East with Israel and Palestine working out an agreement for both sides to recognize the sovereignty of each nation as a separate state. More co-operation between Saudis and Israel re cyber security which Saudis need for their country.
South Korea will play an important part together with President Biden to encourage North Korea’s Kim Jong Un to continue disarmament talks, and dismantling its war weapons in the first part of 2021. Vladimir Putin may leave the political scene in about a year because of illness.
Germany stops changing daylight savings time and establishes its clock in the summertime permanently. Scotland breaks away from th United Kingdom to become an independent state in 2021.
Terrorist attacks around the world in Europe, targeting London, Egypt, France, New York, Germany – places of worship both in US and UK with US malls, theme parks, and an Airline may be hijacked.
Earthquakes of 5.8 to 6.4 +or above, to hit Los Angeles, San Diego, Orange County, and San Francisco.
Northern Japan new Quake or Tsunami could affect Pacific Islands and Hawaii. Europe will suffer from a fresh food shortage. New strange weather patterns and earth alignments are recorded as well as unusual Paranormal events of spirit phenomena.
Earthquakes up to 6.2 up to 7.0 or just below for Los Angeles, San Francisco, Mexico, Japan, Alaska, New Zealand. Power outages in New York and San Francisco. Hurricane season reaps havoc for parts of New York city, high tides and storms for Philippines, with wild fires in Canada, and Australia.
Trauma pandemic forces world societies on the way we run our lives in future with young people studying at home and reshaping the business culture.
More money resources put into Parks where people can safely social distance – will be the new health trend instead of shopping malls which are breeding places for COVID-19. Changes in U.S. health care system, with a health care plan that caters to all. Medicare will expand its medical provides allowing also for more billing for telemedicine.
New cures childhood Cancer, end of Aids disease in America. New treatments for multiple sclerosis, Crohn’s disease, and ulcerative colitis, and a Cannabis based treatment for epilepsy.
(scroll down for more)
23
Paranormal, Aliens, & UFOs / Psychic Predictions for 2021 & Beyond.
« Last post by Psk on December 30, 2020, 09:26:47 AM »
Predictions from the most popular psychics in the world. Because they come from over a dozen different psychics, many of them contradict each other. The psychics that get the most predictions right have a trick. They make 300-500 different predictions a year. So just by the huge number of predictions, they're bound to get a lot of them right.
I can do that too. Make up 300-500 predictions for the year, then by the end of the year, I can show off that 20-30 of my predictions were right or pretty close... and just ignore (and delete) the ones that were wrong... or add them on to next year's predictions. Choose areas most prone to earthquakes to predict there will be an earthquake, & you'll get some of them right. Choose the most volcanically active places in the world to predict there will be an eruption, & you'll likely get at least 1 right. Predict a hurricane will hit Virginia, New Jersey, or NYC? That happens once every 1-3 years anyway.
And the astrologers or tarot card readers are so vague, it's almost pointless. Here's an exact quote from a very popular astrologer for 2021, "Jupiter & Saturn will bring new unifying energy & light to the world in 2021." WTF does that even mean? The alignment of Jupiter & Saturn is over by 2021 anyway.
--------
March feels like a turning point, a light at the end of the tunnel. Confidences will grow. September feels like another turning point, a fresh start for business, with things picking up a little in the economy. Financially, 2022 feels lighter and brighter than 2021.
Heading into the third quarter there’ll be a new lockdown of some sort, a “slap” we will need to listen to.
Weather events will be intense: storms and hurricanes. There will also be political unrest and missiles will fly. (But isn't that every year?)
I expect earthquakes and events in world financial markets. China, North Korea and Venezuela will be centre stage. In April, one or two hugely famous icons will die – one a white man and one a woman, an actress, artist or designer.
We are entering a period of technological revolution in 2021 that will change jobs, education and how we interact, as well as the green revolution we have been on the verge of.
New regulations around social media, following a turning point that we’ll be unable to ignore in May/June. Coronavirus is not going to disappear.
We will see the heavy dose of capitalism and materialism change. Social equality will be a mantra for the next 20 years.
A strong dragon will seize humanity. The three giants will unite. Some people will have red money. I see the numbers 100, 5, and many zeros. The universe will end in 5079. 2021 will be the year that a cure for cancer is found. There will be assassination attempt on Vladimir Putin.
Protests will continue to rage around the world for years to come. People moving somewhere for a better life, almost like a mass exodus. Tom Cruise & heart problems.
We will see a lot of social and political see-sawing in 2021 affecting many countries and there may be notable earth tremors or earthquakes (Isn't that every year?).
Life slowly returns to normal and by late summer, we’re over the worst. Protests and violence on British streets as the impact of Brexit becomes clear. Trump becomes less relevant and spends the next few years desperately trying to avoid prison. Melania makes a break for freedom.
Low vaccine uptake in Europe and the U.S. threatens the pandemic recovery effort. Anti-vaccine protests are countered by opposing sides demanding mandatory vaccination. Light at the end of the tunnel for long-Covid sufferers as researchers make new discoveries. A train crash in Europe brings loss of life.
A freak weather event in Italy. Winter 2021/2022 is a stormy one for Europe, with less snow than usual. In Europe, forest fires are burning in an unusual place.
Airships are making a comeback. Augmented reality and virtual reality go mainstream. Nostalgia is big in 2021 as we crave a return to simpler times.
Biden's presidency will get shortened due to an unexpected illness or accident. The psychic also claimed that Biden's illness could pave the way to the reign of the first female president in the United States.
A powerful earthquake could hit the Himalayan region, Iraq, & the United States. There's the possibility of a plane hijack.
Air travel will return to normalcy by summer 2021.
Two fresh virus outbreaks could hit earth in 2021. China will once again become the epicenter of these upcoming virus outbreaks.
North Korean Supreme Leader Kim Jong-un will find himself at the receiving end in a coup by his own people as mass starvation descends the rogue nation.
(scroll down for more)
I can do that too. Make up 300-500 predictions for the year, then by the end of the year, I can show off that 20-30 of my predictions were right or pretty close... and just ignore (and delete) the ones that were wrong... or add them on to next year's predictions. Choose areas most prone to earthquakes to predict there will be an earthquake, & you'll get some of them right. Choose the most volcanically active places in the world to predict there will be an eruption, & you'll likely get at least 1 right. Predict a hurricane will hit Virginia, New Jersey, or NYC? That happens once every 1-3 years anyway.
And the astrologers or tarot card readers are so vague, it's almost pointless. Here's an exact quote from a very popular astrologer for 2021, "Jupiter & Saturn will bring new unifying energy & light to the world in 2021." WTF does that even mean? The alignment of Jupiter & Saturn is over by 2021 anyway.
--------
March feels like a turning point, a light at the end of the tunnel. Confidences will grow. September feels like another turning point, a fresh start for business, with things picking up a little in the economy. Financially, 2022 feels lighter and brighter than 2021.
Heading into the third quarter there’ll be a new lockdown of some sort, a “slap” we will need to listen to.
Weather events will be intense: storms and hurricanes. There will also be political unrest and missiles will fly. (But isn't that every year?)
I expect earthquakes and events in world financial markets. China, North Korea and Venezuela will be centre stage. In April, one or two hugely famous icons will die – one a white man and one a woman, an actress, artist or designer.
We are entering a period of technological revolution in 2021 that will change jobs, education and how we interact, as well as the green revolution we have been on the verge of.
New regulations around social media, following a turning point that we’ll be unable to ignore in May/June. Coronavirus is not going to disappear.
We will see the heavy dose of capitalism and materialism change. Social equality will be a mantra for the next 20 years.
A strong dragon will seize humanity. The three giants will unite. Some people will have red money. I see the numbers 100, 5, and many zeros. The universe will end in 5079. 2021 will be the year that a cure for cancer is found. There will be assassination attempt on Vladimir Putin.
Protests will continue to rage around the world for years to come. People moving somewhere for a better life, almost like a mass exodus. Tom Cruise & heart problems.
We will see a lot of social and political see-sawing in 2021 affecting many countries and there may be notable earth tremors or earthquakes (Isn't that every year?).
Life slowly returns to normal and by late summer, we’re over the worst. Protests and violence on British streets as the impact of Brexit becomes clear. Trump becomes less relevant and spends the next few years desperately trying to avoid prison. Melania makes a break for freedom.
Low vaccine uptake in Europe and the U.S. threatens the pandemic recovery effort. Anti-vaccine protests are countered by opposing sides demanding mandatory vaccination. Light at the end of the tunnel for long-Covid sufferers as researchers make new discoveries. A train crash in Europe brings loss of life.
A freak weather event in Italy. Winter 2021/2022 is a stormy one for Europe, with less snow than usual. In Europe, forest fires are burning in an unusual place.
Airships are making a comeback. Augmented reality and virtual reality go mainstream. Nostalgia is big in 2021 as we crave a return to simpler times.
Biden's presidency will get shortened due to an unexpected illness or accident. The psychic also claimed that Biden's illness could pave the way to the reign of the first female president in the United States.
A powerful earthquake could hit the Himalayan region, Iraq, & the United States. There's the possibility of a plane hijack.
Air travel will return to normalcy by summer 2021.
Two fresh virus outbreaks could hit earth in 2021. China will once again become the epicenter of these upcoming virus outbreaks.
North Korean Supreme Leader Kim Jong-un will find himself at the receiving end in a coup by his own people as mass starvation descends the rogue nation.
(scroll down for more)
24
Science, Astronomy, & Physics / What does a 95% effective vaccine mean?
« Last post by Psk on November 21, 2020, 03:26:28 PM »
The fundamental logic behind today’s vaccine trials was worked out by statisticians over a century ago. Researchers vaccinate some people and give a placebo to others. They then wait for participants to get sick and look at how many of the illnesses came from each group.
In the case of Pfizer, for example, the company recruited 43,661 volunteers and waited for 170 people to come down with symptoms of Covid-19 and then get a positive test. Out of these 170, 162 had received a placebo shot, and just eight had received the real vaccine.
From these numbers, Pfizer’s researchers calculated the fraction of volunteers in each group who got sick. Both fractions were small, but the fraction of unvaccinated volunteers who got sick was much bigger than the fraction of vaccinated ones. The scientists then determined the relative difference between those two fractions. Scientists express that difference with a value they call efficacy. If there’s no difference between the vaccine and placebo groups, the efficacy is zero. If none of the sick people had been vaccinated, the efficacy is 100 percent.
A 95 percent efficacy is certainly compelling evidence that a vaccine works well. But that number doesn’t tell you what your chances are of becoming sick if you get vaccinated. And on its own, it also doesn’t say how well the vaccine will bring down Covid-19 across the United States.
Coronavirus Briefing: An informed guide to the global outbreak, with the latest developments and expert advice.
What’s the difference between efficacy and effectiveness?
Efficacy and effectiveness are related to each other, but they’re not the same thing. And vaccine experts say it’s crucial not to mix them up. Efficacy is just a measurement made during a clinical trial. “Effectiveness is how well the vaccine works out in the real world,” said Naor Bar-Zeev, an epidemiologist at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.
It’s possible that the effectiveness of coronavirus vaccines will match their impressive efficacy in clinical trials. But if previous vaccines are any guide, effectiveness may prove somewhat lower.
The mismatch comes about because the people who join clinical trials are not a perfect reflection of the population at large. Out in the real world, people may have a host of chronic health problems that could interfere with a vaccine’s protection, for example.
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has a long history of following the effectiveness of vaccines after they’re approved. On Thursday, the agency posted information on its website about its plans to study the effectiveness of coronavirus vaccines. It will find opportunities to compare the health of vaccinated people to others in their communities who have not received a vaccine.
What exactly are these vaccines effective at doing?
The clinical trials run by Pfizer and other companies were specifically designed to see whether vaccines protect people from getting sick from Covid-19. If volunteers developed symptoms like a fever or cough, they were then tested for the coronavirus.
But there’s abundant evidence that people can get infected with the coronavirus without ever showing symptoms. And so it’s possible that a number of people who got vaccinated in the clinical trials got infected, too, without ever realizing it. If those cases indeed exist, none of them are reflected in the 95 percent efficacy rate.
People who are asymptomatic can still spread the virus to others. Some studies suggest that they produce fewer viruses, making them less of a threat than infected people who go on to develop symptoms. But if people get vaccinated and then stop wearing masks and taking other safety measures, their chances of spreading the coronavirus to others could increase.
Vaccines don’t protect only the people who get them. Because they slow the spread of the virus, they can, over time, also drive down new infection rates and protect society as a whole.
Scientists call this broad form of effectiveness a vaccine’s impact. The smallpox vaccine had the greatest impact of all, driving the virus into oblivion in the 1970s. But even a vaccine with extremely high efficacy in clinical trials will have a small impact if only a few people end up getting it.
On Thursday, Dr. Paltiel and his colleagues published a study in the journal Health Affairs in which they simulated the coming rollout of coronavirus vaccines. They modeled vaccines with efficacy rates ranging from high to low, but also considered how quickly and widely a vaccine could be distributed as the pandemic continues to rage.
The results, Dr. Paltiel said, were heartbreaking. He and his colleagues found that when it comes to cutting down on infections, hospitalizations and deaths, the deployment mattered just as much as the efficacy. The study left Dr. Paltiel worried that the United States has not done enough to prepare for the massive distribution of the vaccine in the months to come.
“Time is really running out,” he warned. “Infrastructure is going to contribute at least as much, if not more, than the vaccine itself to the success of the program.”
In the case of Pfizer, for example, the company recruited 43,661 volunteers and waited for 170 people to come down with symptoms of Covid-19 and then get a positive test. Out of these 170, 162 had received a placebo shot, and just eight had received the real vaccine.
From these numbers, Pfizer’s researchers calculated the fraction of volunteers in each group who got sick. Both fractions were small, but the fraction of unvaccinated volunteers who got sick was much bigger than the fraction of vaccinated ones. The scientists then determined the relative difference between those two fractions. Scientists express that difference with a value they call efficacy. If there’s no difference between the vaccine and placebo groups, the efficacy is zero. If none of the sick people had been vaccinated, the efficacy is 100 percent.
A 95 percent efficacy is certainly compelling evidence that a vaccine works well. But that number doesn’t tell you what your chances are of becoming sick if you get vaccinated. And on its own, it also doesn’t say how well the vaccine will bring down Covid-19 across the United States.
Coronavirus Briefing: An informed guide to the global outbreak, with the latest developments and expert advice.
What’s the difference between efficacy and effectiveness?
Efficacy and effectiveness are related to each other, but they’re not the same thing. And vaccine experts say it’s crucial not to mix them up. Efficacy is just a measurement made during a clinical trial. “Effectiveness is how well the vaccine works out in the real world,” said Naor Bar-Zeev, an epidemiologist at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.
It’s possible that the effectiveness of coronavirus vaccines will match their impressive efficacy in clinical trials. But if previous vaccines are any guide, effectiveness may prove somewhat lower.
The mismatch comes about because the people who join clinical trials are not a perfect reflection of the population at large. Out in the real world, people may have a host of chronic health problems that could interfere with a vaccine’s protection, for example.
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has a long history of following the effectiveness of vaccines after they’re approved. On Thursday, the agency posted information on its website about its plans to study the effectiveness of coronavirus vaccines. It will find opportunities to compare the health of vaccinated people to others in their communities who have not received a vaccine.
What exactly are these vaccines effective at doing?
The clinical trials run by Pfizer and other companies were specifically designed to see whether vaccines protect people from getting sick from Covid-19. If volunteers developed symptoms like a fever or cough, they were then tested for the coronavirus.
But there’s abundant evidence that people can get infected with the coronavirus without ever showing symptoms. And so it’s possible that a number of people who got vaccinated in the clinical trials got infected, too, without ever realizing it. If those cases indeed exist, none of them are reflected in the 95 percent efficacy rate.
People who are asymptomatic can still spread the virus to others. Some studies suggest that they produce fewer viruses, making them less of a threat than infected people who go on to develop symptoms. But if people get vaccinated and then stop wearing masks and taking other safety measures, their chances of spreading the coronavirus to others could increase.
Vaccines don’t protect only the people who get them. Because they slow the spread of the virus, they can, over time, also drive down new infection rates and protect society as a whole.
Scientists call this broad form of effectiveness a vaccine’s impact. The smallpox vaccine had the greatest impact of all, driving the virus into oblivion in the 1970s. But even a vaccine with extremely high efficacy in clinical trials will have a small impact if only a few people end up getting it.
On Thursday, Dr. Paltiel and his colleagues published a study in the journal Health Affairs in which they simulated the coming rollout of coronavirus vaccines. They modeled vaccines with efficacy rates ranging from high to low, but also considered how quickly and widely a vaccine could be distributed as the pandemic continues to rage.
The results, Dr. Paltiel said, were heartbreaking. He and his colleagues found that when it comes to cutting down on infections, hospitalizations and deaths, the deployment mattered just as much as the efficacy. The study left Dr. Paltiel worried that the United States has not done enough to prepare for the massive distribution of the vaccine in the months to come.
“Time is really running out,” he warned. “Infrastructure is going to contribute at least as much, if not more, than the vaccine itself to the success of the program.”
25
Paranormal, Aliens, & UFOs / Re: Psychic preditions for 2020 and more
« Last post by Psk on March 31, 2020, 10:35:26 AM »
Continued:
- We’re getting closer to “The Great Reveal” starting in 2020 as the subject of UFO’s and Life outside of our planet will start to begin.
- Most of the major scientific Laws of the 20th Century will be broken in the next 3-4 years by a new science that contradict them and will create new universal laws.
- An accidental disclosure or investigation will reveal that one of the biggest secrets about the moon landing in July 1969 was that we DID go to the moon, but most of the photos were created in a studio so as to not reveal what was really there!
- The National US Citizen Birth Rate will fall to the lowest level in history by 2021.
- New scientific space discoveries concerning “Black Holes” will eventually lead to a new theory and proof about us living in a Parallel Universe since time travel will be proven as well.
- A major earthquake is seen involving the State of Alaska or even Washington State going into late summer.
- Mars rover landing mission to that planet in February 2021 will show some type of alien life – (microscopic or otherwise) and the mission (Rover) will go dark for an unexplained reason for a period of time before the communications are restored.
- Scientists are about to rewrite the history of the Universe by revealing that we are not alone and some of the science that we long thought was true was not.
- In the 7th month of 2020 (July). or in the 7th year of President Trump’s tenure in office (2023) , he will have an accident or an assassination attempt will be made on his life.
- I see people living on the streets. People join stray dogs looking for food in landfills. People are repeating history as they fail to learn from past mistakes. The western part of the United States will be under significant stress due to continuing drought. Women are called upon to lead the world out of trouble.
- A new virus will be discovered that has the potential to be deadly if not eradicated.
- Poor crop yields in the USA.
- We see floods in Italy.
- We will have a universal flu vaccine that protects against all strains of the virus.
- An unusual virus has people worried.
- More and more people will work from home.
- Tensions in the Middle East reach breaking point. As Iran flexes its muscles, Trump makes a bad situation worse.
- A lost world is found under the sea.
- We’re getting closer to “The Great Reveal” starting in 2020 as the subject of UFO’s and Life outside of our planet will start to begin.
- Most of the major scientific Laws of the 20th Century will be broken in the next 3-4 years by a new science that contradict them and will create new universal laws.
- An accidental disclosure or investigation will reveal that one of the biggest secrets about the moon landing in July 1969 was that we DID go to the moon, but most of the photos were created in a studio so as to not reveal what was really there!
- The National US Citizen Birth Rate will fall to the lowest level in history by 2021.
- New scientific space discoveries concerning “Black Holes” will eventually lead to a new theory and proof about us living in a Parallel Universe since time travel will be proven as well.
- A major earthquake is seen involving the State of Alaska or even Washington State going into late summer.
- Mars rover landing mission to that planet in February 2021 will show some type of alien life – (microscopic or otherwise) and the mission (Rover) will go dark for an unexplained reason for a period of time before the communications are restored.
- Scientists are about to rewrite the history of the Universe by revealing that we are not alone and some of the science that we long thought was true was not.
- In the 7th month of 2020 (July). or in the 7th year of President Trump’s tenure in office (2023) , he will have an accident or an assassination attempt will be made on his life.
- I see people living on the streets. People join stray dogs looking for food in landfills. People are repeating history as they fail to learn from past mistakes. The western part of the United States will be under significant stress due to continuing drought. Women are called upon to lead the world out of trouble.
- A new virus will be discovered that has the potential to be deadly if not eradicated.
- Poor crop yields in the USA.
- We see floods in Italy.
- We will have a universal flu vaccine that protects against all strains of the virus.
- An unusual virus has people worried.
- More and more people will work from home.
- Tensions in the Middle East reach breaking point. As Iran flexes its muscles, Trump makes a bad situation worse.
- A lost world is found under the sea.
26
Paranormal, Aliens, & UFOs / Psychic predictions for 2020 and more
« Last post by Psk on March 31, 2020, 09:49:13 AM »
A collection of predictions made from various popular psychics from around the world, before the corona virus. Note very few of them hint about it before the virus was known.
(Make sure to check out the predictions for 2019, there are some predictions for 2020 & beyond there too: http://pskresearch.com/research/index.php?topic=101.0 )
- I had seen a lightning strike. But then I saw that the lightning released an winged orphic egg which is an ancient symbol of renewal. So good will come from all of this difficulty. I saw a recovery by the mid to late 2020’s and a rise in progressive women leaders.
- A lot of people will retire. The baby-boomers with retire earlier. And the next generation, their home life will be more luxurious, because they’re going to have everything that they want right there. There won’t be any need for going to a movie if they have it there. If they want to order food, they have it there. Maybe a robot will come and deliver. The robots are going to take over, for sure.
- Jeane Dixon, a woman who predicted the murder of JFK, the assassination of Mahatma Gandhi, and the Launch of Sputnik supposedly predicted the Apocalypse would begin in the year 2020. She said that Armageddon would take place in 2020 and that Jesus would return to defeat the unholy trinity between 2020 and 2037. Interestingly, the French Astrologer Nostradamus is also said to have supposedly predicted 2020 as a catastrophic year for humanity.
- Pakistan, China, Japan, and Alaska would be hit by a massive water surge in 2020. A 7.5-magnitude earthquake will hit Asia in 2020. A meteor would hit Russia this year.
- Donald Trump will not be re-elected during the 2020 presidential elections. In fact, many psychics believe that he’ll actually resign before his presidency is up or will be impeached.
- Chinese may experience a health problem, and some rather troubling attempts to sabotage foreign nations. Tourism is going to plummet as people go out of their way to avoid the country. The psychic predictions for 2020 suggest that a new strain of bird flu is going to hit the country hard.
- It appears the Russia and China will become closer allies in 2020. This might have something to do with the problems that China is going to be facing, but Putin will play the hero, and China will owe Russia as a result.
- Conflicts in the middle east will decline. Some psychics see a greater threat emerging. The arrival of this new threat will be signaled by a horrifyingly destructive explosion or something in 2020 or 2021. This will take place somewhere in Iraq and won’t be attributed to a single bomb or missile, but rather something far more devastating.
- The psychic predictions for 2020 suggest that a necessary disaster will take place. This may be the result of climate change and will be more powerful and devastating than the burning of the Amazon.
- Trump will be defeated, although he won’t go quietly.
- Heavy winds in the UK.
- President Donald Trump will be re-elected in 2020.
- Gas prices will skyrocket due in part to drone strikes on Saudi Arabia oil reserves. Lots of price gouging by gas stations.
- a huge earthquake that moved land at least a foot.
- Trump may not complete his second term in office. The Democrats keep control of the House in 2020 and Republicans win the Senate.
- The most terrifying prediction from Baba Vanga is the Armageddon that will occur in 2020, leading to the end of the world. 2020 will be a turbulent year with a war in the Middle East, natural disasters and political unrest. Hong Kong riots will escalate leading Government X0 Jinping to make sweeping changes to avoid being overthrown. The USA will also experience earthquakes.
- Revolution in China. European Economic Crisis. More war in the Middle East. Riots in Iran, Ali Khamenei retaliates.
- A war between Saudi Arabia and Iran. American Aircraft Carrier struck by a missile. Putin and Trump enforce a temporary peace deal. The trade war with China will escalate as riots sweep China. Donald Trump will be injured in an assassination attempt. He will have a stomach problem that will temporarily interrupt his work. Continued hurricanes, fires and an earthquake in the US will threaten his presidency.
- Eventually – not in 2020 – Kim Jong-un will be deposed by his own people.
- Miami badly damaged by a hurricane.
- Voyager 2 gives a mysterious last message that some interpret as alien contact. There will also be some strange news about the planet Jupiter.
- Large groups suffocated by a deadly smog in China.
- Volcanic activity in Ireland – however, there won’t be an eruption.
- I don’t think Trump will see out his second term. There will be illness or injury or something that will stop him from doing so. It might be like six months after the election.
(Make sure to check out the predictions for 2019, there are some predictions for 2020 & beyond there too: http://pskresearch.com/research/index.php?topic=101.0 )
- I had seen a lightning strike. But then I saw that the lightning released an winged orphic egg which is an ancient symbol of renewal. So good will come from all of this difficulty. I saw a recovery by the mid to late 2020’s and a rise in progressive women leaders.
- A lot of people will retire. The baby-boomers with retire earlier. And the next generation, their home life will be more luxurious, because they’re going to have everything that they want right there. There won’t be any need for going to a movie if they have it there. If they want to order food, they have it there. Maybe a robot will come and deliver. The robots are going to take over, for sure.
- Jeane Dixon, a woman who predicted the murder of JFK, the assassination of Mahatma Gandhi, and the Launch of Sputnik supposedly predicted the Apocalypse would begin in the year 2020. She said that Armageddon would take place in 2020 and that Jesus would return to defeat the unholy trinity between 2020 and 2037. Interestingly, the French Astrologer Nostradamus is also said to have supposedly predicted 2020 as a catastrophic year for humanity.
- Pakistan, China, Japan, and Alaska would be hit by a massive water surge in 2020. A 7.5-magnitude earthquake will hit Asia in 2020. A meteor would hit Russia this year.
- Donald Trump will not be re-elected during the 2020 presidential elections. In fact, many psychics believe that he’ll actually resign before his presidency is up or will be impeached.
- Chinese may experience a health problem, and some rather troubling attempts to sabotage foreign nations. Tourism is going to plummet as people go out of their way to avoid the country. The psychic predictions for 2020 suggest that a new strain of bird flu is going to hit the country hard.
- It appears the Russia and China will become closer allies in 2020. This might have something to do with the problems that China is going to be facing, but Putin will play the hero, and China will owe Russia as a result.
- Conflicts in the middle east will decline. Some psychics see a greater threat emerging. The arrival of this new threat will be signaled by a horrifyingly destructive explosion or something in 2020 or 2021. This will take place somewhere in Iraq and won’t be attributed to a single bomb or missile, but rather something far more devastating.
- The psychic predictions for 2020 suggest that a necessary disaster will take place. This may be the result of climate change and will be more powerful and devastating than the burning of the Amazon.
- Trump will be defeated, although he won’t go quietly.
- Heavy winds in the UK.
- President Donald Trump will be re-elected in 2020.
- Gas prices will skyrocket due in part to drone strikes on Saudi Arabia oil reserves. Lots of price gouging by gas stations.
- a huge earthquake that moved land at least a foot.
- Trump may not complete his second term in office. The Democrats keep control of the House in 2020 and Republicans win the Senate.
- The most terrifying prediction from Baba Vanga is the Armageddon that will occur in 2020, leading to the end of the world. 2020 will be a turbulent year with a war in the Middle East, natural disasters and political unrest. Hong Kong riots will escalate leading Government X0 Jinping to make sweeping changes to avoid being overthrown. The USA will also experience earthquakes.
- Revolution in China. European Economic Crisis. More war in the Middle East. Riots in Iran, Ali Khamenei retaliates.
- A war between Saudi Arabia and Iran. American Aircraft Carrier struck by a missile. Putin and Trump enforce a temporary peace deal. The trade war with China will escalate as riots sweep China. Donald Trump will be injured in an assassination attempt. He will have a stomach problem that will temporarily interrupt his work. Continued hurricanes, fires and an earthquake in the US will threaten his presidency.
- Eventually – not in 2020 – Kim Jong-un will be deposed by his own people.
- Miami badly damaged by a hurricane.
- Voyager 2 gives a mysterious last message that some interpret as alien contact. There will also be some strange news about the planet Jupiter.
- Large groups suffocated by a deadly smog in China.
- Volcanic activity in Ireland – however, there won’t be an eruption.
- I don’t think Trump will see out his second term. There will be illness or injury or something that will stop him from doing so. It might be like six months after the election.
27
Media, Music, TV, & Movies / Lost In Space-Season 2 moved to Dec. 24
« Last post by Psk on December 08, 2019, 12:19:09 PM »
Netflix announced that is has changed their mind. Instead of airing season 2 of Lost In Space in late 2020, as they previously announced, it will air on December 24th.
28
Media, Music, TV, & Movies / WKBW radio 1968 & 1973 Halloween broadcasts
« Last post by Psk on October 31, 2019, 06:13:44 PM »
You old radio fans are gonna love this, these are 1968 & 1973 Halloween broadcasts from WKBW AM radio.
1968 WKBW's War of the Worlds
9mb, 1 hour & 17 minutes.
http://unclegadget.com/aud/WKBW68.mp3
1973 WKBW's all-night show, with stories, specials, & including War of the Worlds.
27mb, almost 4 hours long.
http://unclegadget.com/aud/WKBW73.mp3
PLEASE support us for archiving old stuff, old sites, & free stuff for years, including working with archives.com (and .org), universities, & Amazon since the 1990s to save/archive stuff free for you & future generations (I own unclegadget.com too).
Donate through the Pay Pal link at the top of our pages to help us survive, pay for our expensive, secure, safe, reliable, multimedia servers & bandwidth. You don't have to be a Pay Pal member for it to work. It will work with any debit or credit card. It's safer & more secure than most online stores.
1968 WKBW's War of the Worlds
9mb, 1 hour & 17 minutes.
http://unclegadget.com/aud/WKBW68.mp3
1973 WKBW's all-night show, with stories, specials, & including War of the Worlds.
27mb, almost 4 hours long.
http://unclegadget.com/aud/WKBW73.mp3
PLEASE support us for archiving old stuff, old sites, & free stuff for years, including working with archives.com (and .org), universities, & Amazon since the 1990s to save/archive stuff free for you & future generations (I own unclegadget.com too).
Donate through the Pay Pal link at the top of our pages to help us survive, pay for our expensive, secure, safe, reliable, multimedia servers & bandwidth. You don't have to be a Pay Pal member for it to work. It will work with any debit or credit card. It's safer & more secure than most online stores.
29
Media, Music, TV, & Movies / New Sci-Fi shows delayed by a year or more
« Last post by Psk on September 26, 2019, 11:35:48 AM »
As the new TV season begins. Sci-fF fans are disappointed that new episodes of favorite Sci-Fi aren't here yet. Star Trek Discovery begins in February. The Orville, according to Seth MacFarlane won't air until the end of 2020. It will move from free FOX TV to pay TV HULU. I guess we'll have to polish our torrent skills. But by then, most of us would have forgotten about the series... such a long delay will most likely be an epic failure for the show.
Although the production of season 2 of the new Lost In Space series began a year ago, in September of 2018, Netflix says it won't air until the end of 2020. This will also be another epic fail due to ridiculously long delays between episodes.
The Sc-Fi department at the BBC has their share of lazy writers & actors too. They seem to want to lay around or jerk off rather than try to work at a full time job that overpays them. They announced that new Doctor Who episodes won't air until "sometime" in early 2020.
I see a pattern here. They can't even set a ballpark date as to when they'll finish a job. When I see people who cannot commit to a specific date or deadline to get something done, it's usually a sure sign of addictions or sheer laziness -- both of which are rampant in the show-business industry.
They need to put aside the coke, or get up & go to work. It's not like they don't get paid enough.
Although the production of season 2 of the new Lost In Space series began a year ago, in September of 2018, Netflix says it won't air until the end of 2020. This will also be another epic fail due to ridiculously long delays between episodes.
The Sc-Fi department at the BBC has their share of lazy writers & actors too. They seem to want to lay around or jerk off rather than try to work at a full time job that overpays them. They announced that new Doctor Who episodes won't air until "sometime" in early 2020.
I see a pattern here. They can't even set a ballpark date as to when they'll finish a job. When I see people who cannot commit to a specific date or deadline to get something done, it's usually a sure sign of addictions or sheer laziness -- both of which are rampant in the show-business industry.
They need to put aside the coke, or get up & go to work. It's not like they don't get paid enough.
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